Value is traditionally defined as the power of a good to command other goods or services when exchanged. Within this broad definition of value, there are various types of value given to real property, such as investment value, market value, insurable value, assessed value, liquidation value, or replacement value. In this article, we’ll go over different types of real estate value, and then zero in and focus on the difference between investment value and market value.
Types of Real Estate Value
First of all, let’s briefly go over several common types of commercial real estate value, then we’ll dive into the difference between investment and market value and clarify with an example.
Market Value is what’s typically meant when referring to a property’s value and is the value used for loan underwriting purposes. The Appraisal Foundation has a specific definition for market value as published in the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP). According to the Appraisal Foundation, market value is the most probable price a property would bring in a competitive and open market under all conditions requisite to a fair sale, with the buyer and seller each acting prudently and knowledgeably, and assuming the price is not affected by undue stimuli.
Investment Value refers to the value to a specific investor, based on that investor’s requirements, tax rate, and financing.
Insurable Value – This covers the value of the portions of a property that are destructible for the purposes of determining insurance coverage.
Assessed Value – Assessed value is the value determined by the local tax assessor to levy real estate taxes.
Liquidation Value – Liquidation value establishes the likely price that a property would sell for during a forced sale, such as a foreclosure or tax sale. Liquidation value is used when there is a limited window for market exposure or when there are other restrictive sale conditions.
Replacement Value – This is the cost to replace the structure with a substitute structure that is identical or that has the same utility as the original property.
A property can have any of the above types of value at any given time, with no two values necessarily being the same. This is an important point to remember when trying to understand the value of a commercial real estate property. This is especially true when determining market value and investment value.
Approaches to Market Value
Market value is what’s determined by an appraisal. During the commercial loan underwriting process, lenders will require a third-party appraisal to determine a market value estimate, which is then used to find an appropriate loan amount and collateral value.
How do appraisers determine market value? First, before a market value can be estimated by an appraiser, the highest and best use for the property must be determined. The highest and best use is the legally permissible use of a property that is physically possible and also that yields the highest present value. This process usually begins with evaluating the zoning laws to understand the legally permitted uses for the property.
Once the legally permitted uses are understood, the physically possible uses are then considered, within the bounds of the zoning ordinances. This takes into account the physical limitations of the property such as topography, size, layout, etc.
Finally, a basic financial feasibility is considered for all the uses that are legally permissible and physically possible. The financially feasible use that produces the highest financial return is the highest and best use.
Once the highest and best use is determined, the appraiser can then estimate market value. Appraisers use three basic approaches to estimate market value: the sales comparison approach, the cost approach, and the income approach, using either the Direct Capitalization Method or the Discounted Cash Flow Model.
Sales Comparison Approach
The sales comparison approach links the value of a property to prices that recent buyers have paid for similar properties. In reality no two properties are exactly alike, but this approach can provide a reasonable estimation of value when there is a large quantity of recently sold comparable transactions.
Cost Approach
The cost approach bases value on the cost of reproducing a property, less any accrued depreciation. Accrued depreciation can come from three sources: physical deterioration, functional obsolescence, and external obsolescence. Once the replacement cost is determined and the accrued depreciation is netted out, the cost is added to the value of the land to estimate an appropriate value based on cost.
Income Capitalization Approach
The income approach to market value derives property value from the income it produces. The two methods used to value a property based on income are the direct capitalization method and the discounted cash flow valuation method.
- Steps for Direct Capitalization:
- Estimate net operating income (NOI).
- Determine the cap rate from market data, comparable sales, or investor surveys.
- Apply the cap rate: Value = NOI/Cap Rate
- Steps for Yield Capitalization (DCF):
- Forecast NOI each year of the holding period.
- Estimate resale value with a terminal cap rate.
- Determine the discount rate from market data, comparable sales, or investor surveys.
- Discount future cash flows to get a present value.
Reconciliation of Value
For income-producing commercial properties, the Income Approach is king, but often all three methods inform an appraiserโs final opinion. If more than one method is used, then they are typically reconciled by using a weighted average to determine the final value estimate. For example, it may be determined that a higher weight should be given to the income approach because the available comparable sales data is weak. As such, this would be reflected in the final reconciled market value in an appraisal.
Approaches to Investment Value
While the market value is used in appraisals for loan underwriting purposes, investors also consider how much a property is worth, given their unique perspective. Investment value is the amount that an investor would pay for a specific property, given that investor’s investment objectives, business plan, and factors including target yield, and tax position.
Because investment value depends on an investor’s point of view, investment value is unique to the investor. As such, different investors can apply the same valuation methods and still come up with different investment values.ย Investors can choose from a variety of valuation methods when determining investment value, unlike appraisers who have to adhere to strict procedural guidelines. The following are the most common ways used to determine investment value:
Cash on Cash Return
The cash on cash return is simple ratio used to determine investment value. It’s calculated by taking cash flow before tax and dividing it by the total equity invested. This is commonly used by non-institutional investors when estimating investment value because it’s simple to understand. It can also be used in combination with other methods.
Equity Multiple
The equity multiple is the ratio of total cash distributions received from an investment, divided by the total equity invested. This is also commonly used by both institutional and non-institutional investors when estimating investment value. It is typically used in combination with a discounted cash flow analysis.
Comparable Sales (Comps)
This is the same sales comparison approach mentioned above that is used by appraisers. Typically, investors will compare similar properties on a per square foot or per-unit basis. This is usually used along with other methods.
Direct Capitalization
This is the same direct capitalization approach mentioned above that is used by appraisers. Capitalizing an estimate of stabilized net operating income for a property is a common and simple way to determine both market and investment value for a commercial property.
The key difference between market value and investment value is that investors may forecast a different stabilized net operating income, based on their unique perspective, plan, or advantages. This contrasts with appraisers, who aren’t considering a unique perspective, but rather trying to estimate the typical or market average perspective. For investment value, the cap rate is typically used as a starting point for a back of the envelope analysis, before moving on to a full discounted cash flow model.
Discounted Cash Flow
The discounted cash flow model is the most widely used method for determining investment value, especially among institutional investors. It involves forecasting cash flows over the holding period by creating a proforma, applying a discount rate (your required return), then discounting all cash flows back to the present to determine a present value. A DCF analysis can also be used to find the internal rate of return (IRR) and Net Present Value (NPV) for the projected cash flows.
Key Questions Answered by a DCF Analysis:
- Present Value answers the question: “What is this investment worth to me today given my required return?”
- IRR answers the question: “What return am I actually earning based on these cash flows?”
- NPV answers the question: “How much more or less can I pay given my required return, assuming all else remains the same?”
The key difference between a DCF analysis for market value and investment value lies in the cash flows being discounted:
- Market value: Focuses on unlevered cash flows without considering the impact of financing.
- Investment value: Focuses on levered equity cash flows, incorporating the investor’s specific financing structure and debt service.
A levered DCF analysis captures the impact of financing on value and return by focusing on equity cash flows. An unlevered DCF analysis excludes the impact of financing on value and return by focusing on cash flows without debt.
Levered vs Unlevered DCF Analysis
Let’s take a closer looks at the difference between a levered and unlevered analysis.
Unlevered DCF:
- Start with NOI: Use the propertyโs net operating income without deducting loan payments.
- Estimate Terminal Value: Capitalize the final yearโs NOI at a reasonable cap rate to estimate the property’s expected sale price.
- Choose what to calculate:
- Present Value:
- Bring each yearโs NOI and the terminal value back to present value using a discount rate that reflects the propertyโs inherent risk, independent of financing.
- The sum of these discounted values gives you the debt-free (unlevered) property value.
- Net Present Value:
- Subtract the initial investment from the present value to get NPV.
- Tells you the difference between what the property would be worth at your required rate of return versus the actual total cost in your model.
- Internal Rate of Return:
- Solve for the discount rate that sets the NPV to zero.
- Tells you the discount rate you are actually earning on the property, given your forecasted cash flows.
- Present Value:
Levered DCF:
- Start with NOI: Begin with the same NOI figure.
- Subtract Debt Service: Deduct principal and interest to get Cash Flow Before Tax.
- Determine Net Sales Proceeds: Estimate the future property sale price, then subtract any outstanding loan balance.
- Choose what to calculate:
- Present Value:
- Discount forecasted future cash flows at an equity discount rate to reflect higher investor risk.
- Summing these discounted equity cash flow gives you the value of the investor’s equity investment.
- Net Present Value:
- Subtract the initial investment from the present value to get NPV.
- Tells you the difference between what the equity would be worth at your required rate of return versus what your initial equity investment actually is in your model.
- Internal Rate of Return:
- Solve for the discount rate that sets the NPV to zero.
- Tells you the discount rate you are actually earning on your equity investment given your forecasted cash flows.
- Present Value:
Determining Investment Value and Iterating to a Maximum Purchase Price
When investor’s build a DCF model, what they are really after is the equity IRR – the rate of return on the investor’s actual cash investment. If the projected cash flows meet your equity return requirements, then the deal makes sense and you can proceed. However, this just tells you the IRR on your equity investment. But how does that relate to your investment value? And what do you do if your equity IRR does not meet your requirement?
A straightforward way to find investment value is to just add Debt + Equity. If your equity IRR already matches your target, then the purchase price is already an input to your model, along with any other acquisition fees or upfront costs. This total cost of acquisition has to be funded with a combination of debt and equity, so that means you can just add up debt + equity to find the investment value.
But what if your equity IRR isnโt where you want it to be, and you need to find the maximum purchase price you can pay for the property? Calculating an NPV for your equity can point out how much youโre off by in theory, yet it assumes no other numbers change when you tweak the purchase price by the NPV. Net Present Value assumes โall else equalโ but thatโs rarely the case in real-world transactions.
Why NPV Fall Short
Imagine a $1,000,000 property financed at 80% LTV ($800,000 loan) plus $200,000 in equity. If your NPV suggests the equity is only worth $100,000 at your discount rate, you might think you can simply reduce the total price to $900,000 and commit $100,000 of equity. But if you keep the same $800,000 loan, thatโs now almost 88% LTV – likely a deal breaker for your lender. Drop the loan to 80% LTV ($720,000), and youโre suddenly back at $180,000 in equity, which doesnโt accomplish what you wanted.
Itโs not just the loan that changes, either. Acquisition fees, closing costs, and property taxes often scale with purchase price. So when you alter the propertyโs price, those items shift as well, which can in turn impact your cash flows.
The most practical way to get around this problem and find the maximum purchase price is to iterate.
The Iterative Method
- Start with a Trial Purchase Price
Pick a number and plug it into your levered model. - Check the Equity IRR
If the IRR exceeds your target, you have room to pay more. If itโs below, you need to pay less. - Update Key Assumptions
Update the loan amount (making sure you stay within LTV limits), along with fees, closing costs, and any other expenses tied to the purchase price. - Refine and Repeat
Continue adjusting the priceโand all affected inputsโuntil your equity IRR aligns with your goal.
Example
- Target Equity IRR: 15%
- Initial Guess: $5M โ yields 18% equity IRR, meaning you can bid higher.
- Refine: Raise the purchase price and update assumptions until IRR hits 15%.
- Result: Thatโs your maximum purchase price.
An NPV analysis can help you guess how much to raise or lower your price between each iteration, but you still need to check how those changes influence your financing and other assumptions.
When your IRR finally lands on target and all your lender requirements and cost assumptions still hold, thatโs your go/no-go price. From there, you can get to your investment value by looking at the total cost of acquisition, which can be found by adding up debt + equity.
We used the IRR in our iterative approach here, but sometimes you are trying to solve for more than one metric. For example, it is common for institutional investors to back solve for a purchase price that both meets a minimum IRR and a minimum equity multiple. Other times, smaller non-institutional investors may simply solve for a purchase price that achieves a minimum cash on cash return. These differences in perspective are ultimately why investment value is unique to each investor.
Conclusion
The distinction between market value and investment value is fundamental to understanding commercial real estate valuation. While market value represents the most probable price a property would command in an open market under fair conditions, investment value reflects what a specific investor would pay based on their unique circumstances, requirements, and objectives. This difference explains why different investors might assign varying values to the same property.
The methods used to determine these values โ from the traditional approaches of sales comparison, income capitalization, and cost analysis for market value, to investment metrics like cash-on-cash return, equity multiple, and IRR โ provide a comprehensive toolkit for valuation. Making informed decisions in commercial real estate investment requires not only mastering these valuation concepts but also understanding how they interact with each other and knowing when to apply them appropriately. Whether you’re an institutional investor or private investor, recognizing the relationship between market value and investment value โ and knowing how to calculate both โ is fundamental to making sound investment decisions.